Key Things To Know This Week
We hope you have enjoyed receiving this emergency fuel market update over the past month. This is our last published issue. If you want to continue to receive important market news, please visit our Mexico Fuels web page.
MEXICO
- Mexico's Energy Secretariat's draft of its latest multiannual energy Sector Program (PROSENER-2020-2024) omitted mechanisms for private participation in the downstream and upstream energy sector.
- Mexico has discriminated against energy companies in violations of current and impending trade agreements with the U.S. and Canada, complicating U.S. investment efforts to compete in the fuels marketing industry and benefiting state-owned Pemex, the American Petroleum Institute said.
- Gasoline and diesel in Mexico remain without reductions in the special tax on fuel sales with regular gasoline, extending its streak without fiscal stimuli to three months.
- Mexico's criminal activity will grow as a result of the COVID-19 crisis, increasing the risks for downstream companies, IHS Markit's Country Risk team has warned.
UNITED STATES
- Market momentum has slowed a bit as WTI hovers below the $40/bbl level and Brent just above it. Cushing inventories continue to decline, supportive for oil futures, and that has narrowed the contango significantly over the past several weeks.
- Gasoline demand continues to recover, according to OPIS DemandPro. Week on week gasoline demand grew by 6.8% during the week ending June 6th. Compared to the same week a year ago, roughly 15,000 stations report an average decline of 24.4%.
- The strong move higher in crude oil outpaced products, putting pressure on refining margins particularly on diesel. Since the beginning of the month the ULSD-WTI crack spread on the screen has increased by about 37% to $10.63/bbl.
- Rising spot and wholesale prices have clipped rack-to-retail margins. The gross rack-to-retail margin according to OPIS MarginPro stands at 26.7cts/gal, representing about a nickel lower than a year ago.
PEMEX Terminal Prices
Prices as of Tuesday, June 16, 2020. *Baseline date is March 5, 2020.
Futures Markets
Prices as of Tuesday, June 16, 2020. *Baseline date is March 5, 2020.
Spot Markets
Prices as of Tuesday, June 16, 2020. *Baseline date is March 5, 2020. Note: ECMX, Rosarito, Lazaro Cardenas are waterborne delivered with 38,000 ton cargoes, San Jose Iturbide,Monterrey and San Luis Potosi are rail manifest delivered.
Implied Wholesale-Landed Spot Plus Market
Prices as of Tuesday, June 16, 2020. *Baseline date is March 5, 2020. Note: OPIS Mexico implied wholesale spot plus prices are based on its landed spot prices plus associated transportation and other related costs to move and store fuel at the designated locations.
Retail Markets
Prices as of Tuesday, June 16, 2020. *Baseline date is March 5, 2020. Mexico City includes retail prices for municipalities served by the 18 de Marzo terminal.
Mexico Average Fuel Chain Snapshot Chart
The OPIS Mexico Fuel Price Report brings transparency to the country’s refined products market, pricing the entire supply chain of imported fuel via rail or waterborne cargoes from the U.S. Gulf and West Coast into Mexico.
Daniel Rodriguez Principal Journalist, OPIS
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